Results trust hub
Lay betting results methodology
How Lay Picks counts public lay betting results: final PLAY rows, lay wins, lay losses, exclusions, and recommended odds as the transparent reference price.
Live record data updated through 1 September 2026. Editorial framework last reviewed 5 August 2026.
Public record from
2 May 2026
Published picks
1094
Settled lays
1077
Lay wins
940
Lay losses
137
Voids / non-runners
17
Strike rate
87.3%
Strike rate
Lay wins divided by lay wins plus lay losses. Only settled public PLAY recommendations are included.
Liability still matters
A high strike rate does not remove risk. Lay betting losses depend on odds and liability, not just stake size.
Recommended odds
Published lay odds are used as the public reference price. Members may aim lower or manage in-play to reduce liability.
Pending rows
Pending and review-needed rows stay outside settled totals until they can be counted cleanly.
Counting rules by result status
The aim is a clean record of what happened to published lay recommendations.
Published PLAY
A final public lay recommendation before settlement.
Lay win
The selected horse did not win the race.
Lay loss
The selected horse won the race.
SKIP
No lay recommendation, so it is not counted.
Void or non-runner
Excluded from settled strike-rate calculations.
Automatic pre-off price-drop void
If the active same-feed lay price falls to 50% or less of the published reference price before the off, the published recommendation stays visible and is marked VOID — DO NOT BET with zero P/L.
Pending or review
Excluded until a clean result is known.
Pre-off safety rule
How the 50% price-drop void is recorded
Before the off, the dashboard monitors the same Matchbook price feed used for the live safety check. If the lay price reaches 50% or less of the published reference price, the finalized PLAY remains visible and is automatically marked VOID — DO NOT BET.
The published row is retained as VOID with zero P/L, so readers can see that the selection existed without treating it as a settled bet. It is excluded from both settled strike rate and tracker profit or loss. The control is mechanical; Lay Picks does not manually recalculate, trigger or override it.
Example: a published lay price of 6.0 has a threshold of 3.0. A same-feed price of 3.0 or lower before the off triggers the automatic visible VOID rule.
Full daily archive links
Open a daily record to review every published pick, including explained voids and non-runners.
Monthly transparency notes
Monthly summaries show published picks, settled lays, lay wins, lay losses, voids, and strike rate.
September 2026
12 published picks, 12 settled lays, 10 lay wins, 2 lay losses, 0 voids, 83.3% strike rate.
Monthly recordAugust 2026
238 published picks, 231 settled lays, 197 lay wins, 34 lay losses, 7 voids, 85.3% strike rate.
Monthly recordJuly 2026
271 published picks, 264 settled lays, 233 lay wins, 31 lay losses, 7 voids, 88.3% strike rate.
Monthly recordJune 2026
245 published picks, 244 settled lays, 213 lay wins, 31 lay losses, 1 voids, 87.3% strike rate.
Monthly recordMay 2026
328 published picks, 326 settled lays, 287 lay wins, 39 lay losses, 2 voids, 88.0% strike rate.
Monthly recordReview the record before judging the numbers
The results pages show transparency, not certainty. Read the record beside lay tips, liability guidance, and the risk disclaimer.
Results methodology FAQs
- How does Lay Picks calculate lay betting strike rate?
- Strike rate is calculated as lay wins divided by lay wins plus lay losses. Only settled public PLAY recommendations are included.
- What counts as a lay win?
- A lay win means the selected horse did not win the race. The horse can place or finish unplaced; the lay result depends on whether it wins.
- What counts as a lay loss?
- A lay loss means the selected horse won the race. That is the downside outcome because the loss is driven by lay liability.
- Are non-runners and voids included in strike rate?
- No. Voids, non-runners, SKIPs, pending rows, and review-needed rows are excluded from settled strike-rate calculations.
- Why are pending results excluded?
- Pending rows are not settled evidence. They stay outside strike rate and monthly totals until the final result is clear.
- What is the 50% pre-off price-drop rule?
- The dashboard compares the current same-feed Matchbook lay price with the published reference price. If it falls by 50% or more before the off, the published selection stays visible and is marked VOID — DO NOT BET with zero P/L. The rule is automatic and is not recalculated or overridden manually.
Related guides
Use these companion pages to read the results record with the right risk and workflow context.
Lay tips
Return to the main lay tips hub and see how public proof supports the service.
Read guideLay betting results
Start with the high-intent overview that connects public results, strike rate, archive pages, and methodology.
Read guideMonthly results record
Review month-by-month settled lays, lay wins, lay losses, and strike-rate context.
Read guideLay betting strike rate
Understand the formula, exclusions, sample size, and why liability still matters.
Read guideLay wins and losses
Understand the result language used across the public record.
Read guideLay betting liability
Review why lay losses depend on odds and exposure, not just the stake.
Read guideResearch and editorial policy
Learn who creates Lay Picks research, what data shapes it, and why decisions stay manual.
Read guideBest reading path
Follow the lay betting learning route
Move through the core guides in order: basics, liability, exchange mechanics, strategy, racecourse context, and transparent results methodology.
Step 1
What is lay betting?
Start with the basic exchange concept: opposing a selection rather than backing it to win.
Open guideStep 2
Liability
Understand the amount at risk before looking at tips, strike rates, or staking.
Open guideStep 3
Exchange guide
Learn how lay odds, liquidity, matching, and commission affect a usable price.
Open guideStep 4
Strategy
Turn runner vulnerability, public checks, price, and skip discipline into a process.
Open guideStep 5
Racecourse guides
Add course shape, draw, pace, going, and distance context before trusting a lay angle.
Open guideStep 6
Results methodology
Read how settled public results are counted before judging any performance record.
Current stepAfter reviewing the proof
Take the next step at your own pace
Results and methodology should build confidence in the process, not pressure. If the record makes sense, these are the practical next pages to check before signing up.
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Liability calculator
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Lay Picks is research and tracking software only. It does not place bets or guarantee future outcomes.
Lay Picks is for informed adults who want a clearer research routine. It is research and tracking software only, never automatic betting. You stay responsible for every manual decision. 18+ only. Read the risk disclaimer.